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Data from: European ornamental garden flora as an invasion debt under climate change

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Datum der Erstveröffentlichung

June 7, 2019

Autor:innen

Thuiller, Wilfried
Dullinger, Stefan
Block, Svenja
Bossdorf, Oliver
Carboni, Marta
Conti, Luisa
Dullinger, Iwona
Essl, Franz
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DOI (Link zu den Daten)
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.2s25t0g
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Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal

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ERA-NET BiodivERsA: Klimawandel und exotische Zierpflanzen: Welche Zierpflanzen sind die Invasiven der Zukunft?

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Biologie: Datensätze
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Titel in einer weiteren Sprache

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Published

Zusammenfassung

  1. Most naturalized and invasive alien plant species were originally introduced to regions for horticultural purposes. However, many regions now face an invasion debt from ornamental alien species, which have not yet naturalized. In this regard, climate change represents a threat as it may lower the barriers to naturalization for some ornamental alien species. Identifying those species is extremely important for anticipating impending invasions.

  2. To identify predictors of naturalization, we modelled the effects of climate, nursery availability and species characteristics on the current European naturalization success of 2,073 ornamental aliens commonly planted in European gardens. We then used the resulting model together with climate projections for 2050 to forecast future naturalization risks for the 1,583 species not yet naturalized in Europe.

  3. We found that non‐European naturalized range size, climatic suitability, propagule pressure, having a dioecious sexual system and plant height jointly explained current naturalization success in Europe. By 2050, naturalization probability projections increased by more than 0.1 for 41 species, and only decreased by more than 0.1 for one species.

  4. Policy Implications. Using predictions based on our integrated model of alien ornamental naturalization success, we identified species with high future naturalization risk and species with high projected increases in naturalization potential in Europe under climate change. This species list allows for prioritization of monitoring and regulation of ornamental plants to mitigate the invasion debt.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache

Fachgebiet (DDC)
570 Biowissenschaften, Biologie

Schlagwörter

Climatic suitability, invasive plants, Garden plants, Invasion modelling, Risk assessment, Propagule pressure, Naturalization success

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Publikation
Zeitschriftenartikel
European ornamental garden flora as an invasion debt under climate change
(2018) Haeuser, Emily Sutton; Dawson, Wayne; Thuiller, Wilfried; Dullinger, Stefan; Block, Svenja; Bossdorf, Oliver; Carboni, Marta; Conti, Luisa; Dullinger, Iwona; Essl, Franz; van Kleunen, Mark et al.
Erschienen in: Journal of Applied Ecology. 2018, 55(5), S. 2386-2395. ISSN 0021-8901. eISSN 1365-2664. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.13197
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ISO 690HAEUSER, Emily Sutton, Wayne DAWSON, Wilfried THUILLER, Stefan DULLINGER, Svenja BLOCK, Oliver BOSSDORF, Marta CARBONI, Luisa CONTI, Iwona DULLINGER, Franz ESSL, Günther KLONNER, Dietmar MOSER, Tamara MUENKEMUELLER, Mark VAN KLEUNEN, 2019. Data from: European ornamental garden flora as an invasion debt under climate change
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2. To identify predictors of naturalization, we modelled the effects of climate, nursery availability and species characteristics on the current European naturalization success of 2,073 ornamental aliens commonly planted in European gardens. We then used the resulting model together with climate projections for 2050 to forecast future naturalization risks for the 1,583 species not yet naturalized in Europe. 

3. We found that non‐European naturalized range size, climatic suitability, propagule pressure, having a dioecious sexual system and plant height jointly explained current naturalization success in Europe. By 2050, naturalization probability projections increased by more than 0.1 for 41 species, and only decreased by more than 0.1 for one species. 

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