Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change

Cite This

Files in this item

Files Size Format View

There are no files associated with this item.

KURER, Thomas, Briitta VAN STAALDUINEN, 2022. Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change. In: American Political Science Review. Cambridge University Press. 116(4), pp. 1340-1356. ISSN 0003-0554. eISSN 1537-5943. Available under: doi: 10.1017/S0003055422000077

@article{Kurer2022Disap-56716, title={Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change}, year={2022}, doi={10.1017/S0003055422000077}, number={4}, volume={116}, issn={0003-0554}, journal={American Political Science Review}, pages={1340--1356}, author={Kurer, Thomas and van Staalduinen, Briitta} }

<rdf:RDF xmlns:dcterms="http://purl.org/dc/terms/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:rdf="http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#" xmlns:bibo="http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/" xmlns:dspace="http://digital-repositories.org/ontologies/dspace/0.1.0#" xmlns:foaf="http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/" xmlns:void="http://rdfs.org/ns/void#" xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#" > <rdf:Description rdf:about="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/56716"> <dc:language>eng</dc:language> <dc:contributor>Kurer, Thomas</dc:contributor> <dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/42"/> <dc:contributor>van Staalduinen, Briitta</dc:contributor> <dc:creator>Kurer, Thomas</dc:creator> <dcterms:rights rdf:resource="https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/"/> <bibo:uri rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/handle/123456789/56716"/> <dc:rights>terms-of-use</dc:rights> <dcterms:issued>2022</dcterms:issued> <dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/42"/> <dc:creator>van Staalduinen, Briitta</dc:creator> <dcterms:available rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2022-03-01T13:47:12Z</dcterms:available> <foaf:homepage rdf:resource="http://localhost:8080/jspui"/> <dcterms:abstract xml:lang="eng">Postindustrial occupational change has ended an era of unprecedented upward mobility. We examine the political implications of this immense structural shift by introducing the concept of status discordance, which we operationalize as the difference between status expectations formed during childhood and outcomes realized in adulthood. We leverage German household panel data and predictive modeling to provide empirical estimates of status expectations based on childhood circumstances and parental background. The analysis reveals that political dissatisfaction is widespread among voters who fall short of intergenerational status expectations. We show that such dissatisfaction is associated with higher abstention rates, less mainstream party support, and more radical voting. Moreover, we explore variation in status discordance by gender, education, and occupation, which influence the choice between radical left and right parties. Our findings highlight how expectations about opportunities underlie generational voting patterns and shed light on the ongoing breakdown of the postwar political consensus.</dcterms:abstract> <dcterms:title>Disappointed Expectations : Downward Mobility and Electoral Change</dcterms:title> <void:sparqlEndpoint rdf:resource="http://localhost/fuseki/dspace/sparql"/> <dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/43613"/> <dc:date rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2022-03-01T13:47:12Z</dc:date> <dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/43613"/> </rdf:Description> </rdf:RDF>

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Search KOPS


Browse

My Account