Publikation: Natural disasters, aid distribution, and social conflict : Micro-level evidence from the 2015 earthquake in Nepal
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How do natural disasters influence social conflict? We build on previous research by drawing more attention to conditional effects. We argue that damage and destruction tend to increase local-level cooperation and cohesion, as common threats and challenges supersede pre-existing communal cleavages. Irregular distribution of reconstruction aid, in the presence of pre-existing social inequalities, however, can dampen these effects and foster social conflict. We test this argument with a village-level analysis of the effects of the 2015 earthquake in Nepal: we rely on data on the exogenous spatial distribution of earthquake intensity, the number of violent events, and the patterns of post-disaster aid distribution. Our findings show that villages exposed to the earthquake experienced a reduction in the number of social conflict events. This pacifying effect is mediated by government aid distribution: as more aid is distributed, the conflict-mitigating effects of the earthquake are weakened. These results highlight the need for more conflict-sensitive reconstruction aid in the aftermath of natural disasters.
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DE JUAN, Alexander, Jan PIERSKALLA, Elisa SCHWARZ, 2020. Natural disasters, aid distribution, and social conflict : Micro-level evidence from the 2015 earthquake in Nepal. In: World Development. Elsevier. 2020, 126, 104715. ISSN 0305-750X. eISSN 1873-5991. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104715BibTex
@article{DeJuan2020-02Natur-48606,
year={2020},
doi={10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104715},
title={Natural disasters, aid distribution, and social conflict : Micro-level evidence from the 2015 earthquake in Nepal},
volume={126},
issn={0305-750X},
journal={World Development},
author={De Juan, Alexander and Pierskalla, Jan and Schwarz, Elisa},
note={Article Number: 104715}
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