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Can individual MPs damage their party's brand? : Quasi-experimental evidence from a public procurement corruption scandal

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2024

Autor:innen

Leininger, Arndt

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Published

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The Journal of Politics. University of Chicago Press. ISSN 0022-3816. eISSN 1468-2508. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1086/732945

Zusammenfassung

Are parties punished electorally by voters for scandals of individual politicians among their ranks? To answer this question, we analyze the electoral repercussions of a political scandal in March 2021 in Germany: Several national members of parliament (MPs) of the then governing party, CDU/CSU, became publicly suspected of being implicated in corrupt behavior. Leveraging the fact that the scandal surfaced shortly before state elections in two German states, we can show that the scandal damaged the whole CDU/CSU party brand, even though these elections were held at a different level of government and one state had no implicated MP. We estimate the effect of the scandal, a loss of 4%-points to the party, through a difference-in-differences design – by differentiating trends in pre-scandal postal and post-scandal urn voting. We test and discuss enabling conditions that lead to electoral repercussions of individual politicians’ wrongdoing for their party overall.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache

Fachgebiet (DDC)
320 Politik

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Corruption, Voting, Electoral Accountability, Natural Experiment, Germany

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ISO 690LEININGER, Arndt, Lukas RUDOLPH, 2024. Can individual MPs damage their party's brand? : Quasi-experimental evidence from a public procurement corruption scandal. In: The Journal of Politics. University of Chicago Press. ISSN 0022-3816. eISSN 1468-2508. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1086/732945
BibTex
@article{Leininger2024-09-03indiv-71599,
  year={2024},
  doi={10.1086/732945},
  title={Can individual MPs damage their party's brand? : Quasi-experimental evidence from a public procurement corruption scandal},
  issn={0022-3816},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  author={Leininger, Arndt and Rudolph, Lukas}
}
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