Publikation:

Asymmetric Volatility Risk : Evidence from Option Markets

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2019

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Vilkov, Grigory

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Review of Finance. 2019, 23(4), pp. 777-799. ISSN 1382-6662. eISSN 1573-692X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/rof/rfy025

Zusammenfassung

Asymmetric volatility concerns the relation of returns to future expected volatility. Much is known from option prices about the marginal risk-neutral distributions (RNDs) of S&P 500 returns and of relative changes in future expected volatility (VIX). While the bivariate RND cannot be inferred from the marginals, we propose a novel identification based on long-dated index options. We estimate the risk-neutral asymmetric volatility implied correlation (AVIC) and find it to be significantly lower than its realized counterpart. We interpret the economics of the asymmetric volatility correlation risk premium and use AVIC to predict returns, volatility, and risk-neutral quantities.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache

Fachgebiet (DDC)
330 Wirtschaft

Schlagwörter

Asymmetric volatility, VIX options, Volatility trading, Leverage effect, Risk-neutral distribution

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ISO 690JACKWERTH, Jens, Grigory VILKOV, 2019. Asymmetric Volatility Risk : Evidence from Option Markets. In: Review of Finance. 2019, 23(4), pp. 777-799. ISSN 1382-6662. eISSN 1573-692X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/rof/rfy025
BibTex
@article{Jackwerth2019-07-01Asymm-47892,
  year={2019},
  doi={10.1093/rof/rfy025},
  title={Asymmetric Volatility Risk : Evidence from Option Markets},
  number={4},
  volume={23},
  issn={1382-6662},
  journal={Review of Finance},
  pages={777--799},
  author={Jackwerth, Jens and Vilkov, Grigory}
}
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