Thin-skinned leaders : regime legitimation, protest issues, and repression in autocracies

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2022
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Political Science Research and Methods. Cambridge University Press. 2022, 10(1), pp. 136-152. ISSN 2049-8470. eISSN 2049-8489. Available under: doi: 10.1017/psrm.2021.19
Zusammenfassung

The literature on autocracies has argued that repression of protest is either a result of the political environment in which protest occurs, or depends on particular characteristics of the protest events themselves. We argue that the interaction of both matters. Authoritarian regimes vary in how they legitimize their rule, and they should be particularly thin-skinned if protesters challenge the basis of their legitimacy. Using event-level data on mass mobilization in autocracies between 2003 and 2015, we use text classification methods to extract protest issues from newspaper reports. Our analysis shows that dictators are more likely to repress protest against incumbents when they claim legitimacy based on the person of the leader. Overall, our study shows that protest issues are not universal in triggering repression; rather, they need to be considered together with the political context in which they are raised.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache
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320 Politik
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Protest; authoritarian regimes; repression; legitimation; demands
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ISO 690KEREMOGLU, Eda, Sebastian HELLMEIER, Nils B. WEIDMANN, 2022. Thin-skinned leaders : regime legitimation, protest issues, and repression in autocracies. In: Political Science Research and Methods. Cambridge University Press. 2022, 10(1), pp. 136-152. ISSN 2049-8470. eISSN 2049-8489. Available under: doi: 10.1017/psrm.2021.19
BibTex
@article{Keremoglu2022-01Thins-53870,
  year={2022},
  doi={10.1017/psrm.2021.19},
  title={Thin-skinned leaders : regime legitimation, protest issues, and repression in autocracies},
  number={1},
  volume={10},
  issn={2049-8470},
  journal={Political Science Research and Methods},
  pages={136--152},
  author={Keremoglu, Eda and Hellmeier, Sebastian and Weidmann, Nils B.}
}
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