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Replication Data for: Deontological and consequentialist preferences towards arms exports: A comparative conjoint experiment in France and Germany

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2023

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V1

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Published

Zusammenfassung

Despite fierce politicization in arms-exporting democracies, we lack systematic research on mass public preferences on arms transfers. We propose that citizens either apply a deontologist (rejecting transfers categorically) or consequentialist (trading-off economic, strategic and normative aspects) calculus of preference formation. Conducting population-representative survey experiments (N=6,617) in Germany and France, two global top-5 major arms exporters, we find that 10-15% of respondents follow deontologist considerations, a preference structure potentially relevant for all foreign policies involving the use of military force. Still, a majority shows differentiated preferences, giving largest weight to normative considerations, with assessments affected by moderating features (e.g., scenarios of just war). Principled rejection of arms trade and a large consequentialist weight for normative factors are more pronounced in Germany compared to France, indicating that public opinion might pose a stronger constraint in this country. Respondents' preferences match opinion-polls on post-Russian invasion Ukraine-armament, indicating high external validity of our experiments.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache

Fachgebiet (DDC)
320 Politik

Schlagwörter

Social Sciences, weapon export, foreign policy, international trade, public opinion, survey experiment, deontological ethics

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Publikation
Zeitschriftenartikel
Deontological and consequentialist preferences towards arms exports : A comparative conjoint experiment in France and Germany
(2024) Rudolph, Lukas; Freitag, Markus; Thurner, Paul W.
Erschienen in: European Journal of Political Research. Wiley. 2024, 63(2), S. 705-728. ISSN 0304-4130. eISSN 1475-6765. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1111/1475-6765.12617
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ISO 690RUDOLPH, Lukas, Markus FREITAG, Paul THURNER, 2023. Replication Data for: Deontological and consequentialist preferences towards arms exports: A comparative conjoint experiment in France and Germany
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