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Systematic review and meta-analysis of the predictive value of four risk assessment instruments

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2024

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Open Science Framework

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We systematically reviewed the available evidence on the discrimination of four well-established Risk-Assessment Instruments (RAIs) used to estimate the probability of recidivism for general (Level of Service Inventory-Revised; LSI-R), violent (Violence Risk Appraisal Guide; VRAG), sexual (Static-99R), and intimate partner violent offences (Ontario Domestic Assault Risk Assessment; ODARA). We conducted bivariate logit-normal random effects meta-analysis of the sensitivity and false positive rates and modelled the positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) using BRs as reported in a) the construction samples of each RAI and b) recent official statistics and peer-reviewed articles for different offence categories and countries. To assess risk of bias we used the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies.

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150 Psychologie

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The key role of base rates : systematic review and meta-analysis of the predictive value of four risk assessment instruments
(2025) Weber, Michael A.; Schnyder, Nina; Kirschstein, Madeleine A.; Graf, Marc; Endrass, Jérôme; Rossegger, Astrid
Erschienen in: Swiss Medical Weekly. SMW Supporting Association. 2025, 155(2), 3517. ISSN 0036-7672. eISSN 1424-3997. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.57187/s.3517
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ISO 690SCHNYDER, Nina, 2024. Systematic review and meta-analysis of the predictive value of four risk assessment instruments
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2025-03-12

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