How technological change affects regional voting patterns

Schöll, Nikolas; Kurer, Thomas

How technological change affects regional voting patterns

Dateien

Schoell_2-1qtpcw9fkltxu9.pdfGröße: 688.7 KBDownloads: 22

Datum

2024

Autor:innen

Schöll, Nikolas

Kurer, Thomas

Angaben zur Forschungsförderung

European Union (EU): 187800

Open Access-Veröffentlichung

Open Access Hybrid

Sammlungen

Politik- und Verwaltungswissenschaft
Exzellenzcluster "Die politische Dimension von Ungleichheit"

Publikationstyp

Zeitschriftenartikel

Publikationsstatus

Published

Erschienen in

Political Science Research and Methods. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 2024, 12(1), pp. 94-112. ISSN 2049-8470. eISSN 2049-8489. Available under: doi: 10.1017/psrm.2022.62

Zusammenfassung

Does technological change fuel political disruption? Drawing on fine-grained labor market data from Germany, this paper examines how technological change affects regional electorates. We first show that the well-known decline in manufacturing and routine jobs in regions with higher robot adoption or investment in information and communication technology (ICT) was more than compensated by parallel employment growth in the service sector and cognitive non-routine occupations. This change in the regional composition of the workforce has important political implications: Workers trained for these new sectors typically hold progressive political values and support progressive pro-system parties. Overall, this composition effect dominates the politically perilous direct effect of automation-induced substitution. As a result, technology-adopting regions are unlikely to turn into populist-authoritarian strongholds.

Fachgebiet (DDC)

320 Politik

Schlagwörter

Automation, occupational determinants of political preferences, political preferences, robots, technological change, voters

Zitieren

ISO 690

SCHÖLL, Nikolas, Thomas KURER, 2024. How technological change affects regional voting patterns. In: Political Science Research and Methods. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 2024, 12(1), pp. 94-112. ISSN 2049-8470. eISSN 2049-8489. Available under: doi: 10.1017/psrm.2022.62

BibTex

@article{Scholl2024techn-66017,
  year={2024},
  doi={10.1017/psrm.2022.62},
  title={How technological change affects regional voting patterns},
  number={1},
  volume={12},
  issn={2049-8470},
  journal={Political Science Research and Methods},
  pages={94--112},
  author={Schöll, Nikolas and Kurer, Thomas}
}

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Universitätsbibliographie

Ja

Begutachtet

Ja

Link zu Forschungsdaten

Beschreibung der Forschungsdaten

https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/3JQAHE

Dataset