KOPS - The Institutional Repository of the University of Konstanz

Challenging the Status Quo : Predicting Violence with Sparse Decision-Making Data

Challenging the Status Quo : Predicting Violence with Sparse Decision-Making Data

Cite This

Files in this item

Files Size Format View

There are no files associated with this item.

BÄTZ, Konstantin, Ann-Cathrin KLÖCKNER, Gerald SCHNEIDER, 2022. Challenging the Status Quo : Predicting Violence with Sparse Decision-Making Data. In: International Interactions. Taylor & Francis. 48(4), pp. 697-713. ISSN 0305-0629. eISSN 1547-7444. Available under: doi: 10.1080/03050629.2022.2051024

@article{Batz2022-07-04Chall-56981, title={Challenging the Status Quo : Predicting Violence with Sparse Decision-Making Data}, year={2022}, doi={10.1080/03050629.2022.2051024}, number={4}, volume={48}, issn={0305-0629}, journal={International Interactions}, pages={697--713}, author={Bätz, Konstantin and Klöckner, Ann-Cathrin and Schneider, Gerald} }

<rdf:RDF xmlns:dcterms="http://purl.org/dc/terms/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:rdf="http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#" xmlns:bibo="http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/" xmlns:dspace="http://digital-repositories.org/ontologies/dspace/0.1.0#" xmlns:foaf="http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/" xmlns:void="http://rdfs.org/ns/void#" xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#" > <rdf:Description rdf:about="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/56981"> <bibo:uri rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/handle/123456789/56981"/> <dc:contributor>Bätz, Konstantin</dc:contributor> <dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/43613"/> <dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/42"/> <dc:creator>Klöckner, Ann-Cathrin</dc:creator> <dc:date rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2022-03-24T12:55:33Z</dc:date> <dc:creator>Bätz, Konstantin</dc:creator> <dcterms:abstract xml:lang="eng">This article addresses the discrepancy between the explanation and the prediction of political violence through the development of different models that approximate the decision-making on war and peace. Borrowing from the crisis bargaining literature, the prediction models particularly consider the situational attributes through which players can challenge the status quo. We distinguish between direct and indirect proxies of a weakening of the status quo and show that adding decision-making data can improve the accuracy of cross-sectional forecasting models. The study, which demonstrates the increased conflict risk due to the COVID-19 pandemic and thus another development upsetting the status quo, discusses the usefulness of decision-making forecasts through various case study illustrations.</dcterms:abstract> <dc:language>eng</dc:language> <dcterms:rights rdf:resource="https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/"/> <dcterms:available rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2022-03-24T12:55:33Z</dcterms:available> <dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/42"/> <foaf:homepage rdf:resource="http://localhost:8080/jspui"/> <dc:rights>terms-of-use</dc:rights> <void:sparqlEndpoint rdf:resource="http://localhost/fuseki/dspace/sparql"/> <dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/43613"/> <dc:contributor>Klöckner, Ann-Cathrin</dc:contributor> <dcterms:issued>2022-07-04</dcterms:issued> <dc:creator>Schneider, Gerald</dc:creator> <dcterms:title>Challenging the Status Quo : Predicting Violence with Sparse Decision-Making Data</dcterms:title> <dc:contributor>Schneider, Gerald</dc:contributor> </rdf:Description> </rdf:RDF>

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Search KOPS


Browse

My Account