Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?
| Type of Publication: | Journal article |
| Publication status: | Published |
| Author: | Cederman, Lars-Erik; Weidmann, Nils B. |
| Year of publication: | 2017 |
| Published in: | Science ; 355 (2017), 6324. - pp. 474-476. - ISSN 0036-8075. - eISSN 1095-9203 |
| Pubmed ID: | 28154047 |
| DOI (citable link): | https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aal4483 |
| Summary: |
This Essay provides an introduction to the general challenges of predicting political violence, particularly compared with predicting other types of events (such as earthquakes). What is possible? What is less realistic? We aim to debunk myths about predicting violence, as well as to illustrate the substantial progress in this field.
|
| Subject (DDC): | 320 Politics |
| Bibliography of Konstanz: | Yes |
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CEDERMAN, Lars-Erik, Nils B. WEIDMANN, 2017. Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?. In: Science. 355(6324), pp. 474-476. ISSN 0036-8075. eISSN 1095-9203. Available under: doi: 10.1126/science.aal4483
@article{Cederman2017-02-03Predi-37221, title={Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?}, year={2017}, doi={10.1126/science.aal4483}, number={6324}, volume={355}, issn={0036-8075}, journal={Science}, pages={474--476}, author={Cederman, Lars-Erik and Weidmann, Nils B.} }
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