Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?

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CEDERMAN, Lars-Erik, Nils B. WEIDMANN, 2017. Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?. In: Science. 355(6324), pp. 474-476. ISSN 0036-8075. eISSN 1095-9203

@article{Cederman2017-02-03Predi-37221, title={Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?}, year={2017}, doi={10.1126/science.aal4483}, number={6324}, volume={355}, issn={0036-8075}, journal={Science}, pages={474--476}, author={Cederman, Lars-Erik and Weidmann, Nils B.} }

<rdf:RDF xmlns:rdf="http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#" xmlns:bibo="http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:dcterms="http://purl.org/dc/terms/" xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#" > <rdf:Description rdf:about="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/rdf/resource/123456789/37221"> <dc:contributor>Cederman, Lars-Erik</dc:contributor> <dc:language>eng</dc:language> <dc:date rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2017-02-08T13:33:27Z</dc:date> <dcterms:available rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2017-02-08T13:33:27Z</dcterms:available> <dcterms:abstract xml:lang="eng">This Essay provides an introduction to the general challenges of predicting political violence, particularly compared with predicting other types of events (such as earthquakes). What is possible? What is less realistic? We aim to debunk myths about predicting violence, as well as to illustrate the substantial progress in this field.</dcterms:abstract> <dc:creator>Cederman, Lars-Erik</dc:creator> <bibo:uri rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/handle/123456789/37221"/> <dc:contributor>Weidmann, Nils B.</dc:contributor> <dcterms:title>Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?</dcterms:title> <dc:creator>Weidmann, Nils B.</dc:creator> <dcterms:issued>2017-02-03</dcterms:issued> </rdf:Description> </rdf:RDF>

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