Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?

Publikationstyp: Zeitschriftenartikel
Publikationsstatus: Published
Autor/innen: Cederman, Lars-Erik; Weidmann, Nils B.
Erscheinungsjahr: 2017
Erschienen in: Science ; 355 (2017), 6324. - S. 474-476. - ISSN 0036-8075. - eISSN 1095-9203
Pubmed ID: 28154047
DOI (zitierfähiger Link): https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aal4483
Zusammenfassung:
This Essay provides an introduction to the general challenges of predicting political violence, particularly compared with predicting other types of events (such as earthquakes). What is possible? What is less realistic? We aim to debunk myths about predicting violence, as well as to illustrate the substantial progress in this field.
Fachgebiet (DDC): 320 Politik
Universitätsbibliographie: Ja

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CEDERMAN, Lars-Erik, Nils B. WEIDMANN, 2017. Predicting armed conflict : Time to adjust our expectations?. In: Science. 355(6324), pp. 474-476. ISSN 0036-8075. eISSN 1095-9203. Available under: doi: 10.1126/science.aal4483

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