Probability theory and causation : a branching space-times analysis

Müller, Thomas

Probability theory and causation : a branching space-times analysis

Files

Mueller-271334.pdf(259.97 KB)

Date

2005

Publication type

Journal article

Published in

The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science ; 56 (2005), 3. - pp. 487-520. - ISSN 0007-0882. - eISSN 1464-3537

Abstract

We provide a formally rigorous framework for integrating singular causation, as understood by Nuel Belnap's theory of causae causantes, and objective single case probabilities. The central notion is that of a causal probability space whose sample space consists of causal alternatives. Such a probability space is generally not isomorphic to a product space. We give a causally motivated statement of the Markov condition and an analysis of the concept of screening-off.

Subject (DDC)

100 Philosophy

Keywords

Probability,Modality,Screening-off

Cite This

ISO 690

MÜLLER, Thomas, 2005. Probability theory and causation : a branching space-times analysis. In: The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. 56(3), pp. 487-520. ISSN 0007-0882. eISSN 1464-3537. Available under: doi: 10.1093/bjps/axi132

BibTex

@article{Muller2005Proba-27133,
  year={2005},
  doi={10.1093/bjps/axi132},
  title={Probability theory and causation : a branching space-times analysis},
  number={3},
  volume={56},
  issn={0007-0882},
  journal={The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science},
  pages={487--520},
  author={Müller, Thomas}
}

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