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Prediction of violent and sexual offences : a replication study of the VRAG in Switzerland

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2006

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Noll, Thomas
Grunewald, Sonja
Steinbach, Jennifer

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https://doi.org/10.1080/02699200500297799
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Psychologie: Publikationen
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Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology. 2006, 17(1), pp. 23-31. ISSN 1478-9949. eISSN 1478-9957. Available under: doi: 10.1080/02699200500297799

Zusammenfassung

The Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) is a widely used actuarial risk assessment instrument and has been validated in different countries. However, there is no investigation supporting the predictive accuracy of the VRAG in the German language area. The VRAG scores of 79 violent and sexual offenders in Switzerland were assessed based on data from their psychiatric expert opinions. The VRAG scores were compared to subsequent recidivism as shown in the official criminal records. Consistent with past research in the English language area, the VRAG yielded a satisfying predictive accuracy (ROC area = .73), demonstrating its usefulness for risk assessment of violent delinquency in the Swiss cultural and German language area.

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Fachgebiet (DDC)
150 Psychologie

Schlagwörter

VRAG, recidivism, violent offence, risk assessment, German language area, replication

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ISO 690URBANIOK, Frank, Thomas NOLL, Sonja GRUNEWALD, Jennifer STEINBACH, Jérôme ENDRASS, 2006. Prediction of violent and sexual offences : a replication study of the VRAG in Switzerland. In: Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology. 2006, 17(1), pp. 23-31. ISSN 1478-9949. eISSN 1478-9957. Available under: doi: 10.1080/02699200500297799
BibTex
@article{Urbaniok2006-03Predi-37388,
  year={2006},
  doi={10.1080/02699200500297799},
  title={Prediction of violent and sexual offences : a replication study of the VRAG in Switzerland},
  number={1},
  volume={17},
  issn={1478-9949},
  journal={Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology},
  pages={23--31},
  author={Urbaniok, Frank and Noll, Thomas and Grunewald, Sonja and Steinbach, Jennifer and Endrass, Jérôme}
}
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