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Electoral support for the 5 Star Movement in Milan : An ecological analysis of social and spatial factors

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2023

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Pratschke, Jonathan
Vitale, Tommaso
Morelli, Niccolò
Cousin, Bruno
Del Fabbro, Matteo

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Journal of Urban Affairs. Taylor & Francis. 2023, 45(5), S. 998-1021. ISSN 0735-2166. eISSN 1467-9906. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1080/07352166.2021.1886855

Zusammenfassung

After the 2018 general election, several scholars remarked on the failure of the 5 Star Movement (5SM) to increase its vote in Milan. While the role of demographic and socioeconomic factors has been highlighted, little attention has been devoted to spatial dynamics. The authors analyze the greater city of Milan using a new set of spatial units that capture the characteristics of the local populations which voted at specific polling stations. They regress support for the 5SM in each electoral district on a range of demographic, socioeconomic and spatial variables. The results show that more disadvantaged districts just outside the municipality have a strong propensity to support the 5SM. Many of the individuals and families living in these areas were negatively affected by economic crisis and continue to experience strain. These are not places of extreme marginality but have unsatisfied needs that are largely ignored by the traditional parties.

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300 Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie

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ISO 690PRATSCHKE, Jonathan, Tommaso VITALE, Niccolò MORELLI, Bruno COUSIN, Matteo PIOLATTO, Matteo DEL FABBRO, 2023. Electoral support for the 5 Star Movement in Milan : An ecological analysis of social and spatial factors. In: Journal of Urban Affairs. Taylor & Francis. 2023, 45(5), S. 998-1021. ISSN 0735-2166. eISSN 1467-9906. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1080/07352166.2021.1886855
BibTex
@article{Pratschke2023Elect-66033,
  year={2023},
  doi={10.1080/07352166.2021.1886855},
  title={Electoral support for the 5 Star Movement in Milan : An ecological analysis of social and spatial factors},
  number={5},
  volume={45},
  issn={0735-2166},
  journal={Journal of Urban Affairs},
  pages={998--1021},
  author={Pratschke, Jonathan and Vitale, Tommaso and Morelli, Niccolò and Cousin, Bruno and Piolatto, Matteo and Del Fabbro, Matteo}
}
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