Concentration Bias in Intertemporal Choice

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2022
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Gerhardt, Holger
Riener, Gerhard
Schwerter, Frederik
Strang, Louis
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The Review of Economic Studies. Oxford University Press. 2022, 89(3), pp. 1314-1334. ISSN 0034-6527. eISSN 1467-937X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/restud/rdab043
Zusammenfassung

Many intertemporal trade-offs are unbalanced: while the advantages of options are concentrated in a few periods, the disadvantages are dispersed over numerous periods. We provide novel experimental evidence for “concentration bias,” the tendency to overweight advantages that are concentrated in time. Subjects commit to too much overtime work that is dispersed over multiple days in exchange for a bonus that is concentrated in time: concentration bias increases subjects’ willingness to work by 22.4% beyond what standard discounting models could account for. In additional conditions and a complementary experiment involving monetary payments, we study the mechanisms behind concentration bias and demonstrate the robustness of our findings.

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ISO 690DERTWINKEL-KALT, Markus, Holger GERHARDT, Gerhard RIENER, Frederik SCHWERTER, Louis STRANG, 2022. Concentration Bias in Intertemporal Choice. In: The Review of Economic Studies. Oxford University Press. 2022, 89(3), pp. 1314-1334. ISSN 0034-6527. eISSN 1467-937X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/restud/rdab043
BibTex
@article{DertwinkelKalt2022Conce-56782,
  year={2022},
  doi={10.1093/restud/rdab043},
  title={Concentration Bias in Intertemporal Choice},
  number={3},
  volume={89},
  issn={0034-6527},
  journal={The Review of Economic Studies},
  pages={1314--1334},
  author={Dertwinkel-Kalt, Markus and Gerhardt, Holger and Riener, Gerhard and Schwerter, Frederik and Strang, Louis}
}
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