Publikation:

How technological change affects regional voting patterns

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2024

Autor:innen

Schöll, Nikolas

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European Union (EU): 187800

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Political Science Research and Methods. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 2024, 12(1), S. 94-112. ISSN 2049-8470. eISSN 2049-8489. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1017/psrm.2022.62

Zusammenfassung

Does technological change fuel political disruption? Drawing on fine-grained labor market data from Germany, this paper examines how technological change affects regional electorates. We first show that the well-known decline in manufacturing and routine jobs in regions with higher robot adoption or investment in information and communication technology (ICT) was more than compensated by parallel employment growth in the service sector and cognitive non-routine occupations. This change in the regional composition of the workforce has important political implications: Workers trained for these new sectors typically hold progressive political values and support progressive pro-system parties. Overall, this composition effect dominates the politically perilous direct effect of automation-induced substitution. As a result, technology-adopting regions are unlikely to turn into populist-authoritarian strongholds.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache

Fachgebiet (DDC)
320 Politik

Schlagwörter

Automation, occupational determinants of political preferences, political preferences, robots, technological change, voters

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ISO 690SCHÖLL, Nikolas, Thomas KURER, 2024. How technological change affects regional voting patterns. In: Political Science Research and Methods. Cambridge University Press (CUP). 2024, 12(1), S. 94-112. ISSN 2049-8470. eISSN 2049-8489. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1017/psrm.2022.62
BibTex
@article{Scholl2024techn-66017,
  title={How technological change affects regional voting patterns},
  year={2024},
  doi={10.1017/psrm.2022.62},
  number={1},
  volume={12},
  issn={2049-8470},
  journal={Political Science Research and Methods},
  pages={94--112},
  author={Schöll, Nikolas and Kurer, Thomas}
}
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