Publikation: Miss rate neglect in legal evidence
Lade...
Dateien
Zu diesem Dokument gibt es keine Dateien.
Datum
2016
Autor:innen
Herausgeber:innen
ISSN der Zeitschrift
Electronic ISSN
ISBN
Bibliografische Daten
Verlag
Schriftenreihe
Auflagebezeichnung
DOI (zitierfähiger Link)
Internationale Patentnummer
Angaben zur Forschungsförderung
Projekt
Open Access-Veröffentlichung
Sammlungen
Core Facility der Universität Konstanz
Titel in einer weiteren Sprache
Publikationstyp
Zeitschriftenartikel
Publikationsstatus
Published
Erschienen in
Law, Probability and Risk. 2016, 15(4), pp. 239-250. ISSN 1470-8396. eISSN 1470-840X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/lpr/mgw007
Zusammenfassung
Research on probabilistic reasoning has discovered several systematic errors, among which base rate neglect and the fallacy of the transposed conditional have featured prominently. This article introduces the term miss rate neglect to capture the systematic failure to properly account for false positives, i.e. the probability of evidence (E) given the hypothesis (H) is false, P(E|~H). Miss rate neglect occurs when decision makers (i) completely disregard the miss rate; (ii) underestimate the importance of differences in the miss rate, or (iii) overlook circumstances that affect the miss rate. We explain the relevance of miss rate neglect for legal decision making, review extant literature, present new experimental work that empirically validates options (ii) and (iii), and propose experimental variations that future research may pursue.
Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache
Fachgebiet (DDC)
100 Philosophie
Schlagwörter
Konferenz
Rezension
undefined / . - undefined, undefined
Zitieren
ISO 690
DAHLMAN, Christian, Frank ZENKER, Farhan SARWAR, 2016. Miss rate neglect in legal evidence. In: Law, Probability and Risk. 2016, 15(4), pp. 239-250. ISSN 1470-8396. eISSN 1470-840X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/lpr/mgw007BibTex
@article{Dahlman2016-12-22negle-37942,
year={2016},
doi={10.1093/lpr/mgw007},
title={Miss rate neglect in legal evidence},
number={4},
volume={15},
issn={1470-8396},
journal={Law, Probability and Risk},
pages={239--250},
author={Dahlman, Christian and Zenker, Frank and Sarwar, Farhan}
}RDF
<rdf:RDF
xmlns:dcterms="http://purl.org/dc/terms/"
xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
xmlns:rdf="http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#"
xmlns:bibo="http://purl.org/ontology/bibo/"
xmlns:dspace="http://digital-repositories.org/ontologies/dspace/0.1.0#"
xmlns:foaf="http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/"
xmlns:void="http://rdfs.org/ns/void#"
xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#" >
<rdf:Description rdf:about="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/37942">
<dc:creator>Sarwar, Farhan</dc:creator>
<dc:creator>Zenker, Frank</dc:creator>
<dc:creator>Dahlman, Christian</dc:creator>
<bibo:uri rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/handle/123456789/37942"/>
<dc:contributor>Sarwar, Farhan</dc:contributor>
<foaf:homepage rdf:resource="http://localhost:8080/"/>
<dcterms:isPartOf rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/40"/>
<dc:date rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2017-03-09T14:16:48Z</dc:date>
<dcterms:available rdf:datatype="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#dateTime">2017-03-09T14:16:48Z</dcterms:available>
<dc:contributor>Zenker, Frank</dc:contributor>
<void:sparqlEndpoint rdf:resource="http://localhost/fuseki/dspace/sparql"/>
<dc:language>eng</dc:language>
<dcterms:issued>2016-12-22</dcterms:issued>
<dspace:isPartOfCollection rdf:resource="https://kops.uni-konstanz.de/server/rdf/resource/123456789/40"/>
<dcterms:title>Miss rate neglect in legal evidence</dcterms:title>
<dcterms:abstract xml:lang="eng">Research on probabilistic reasoning has discovered several systematic errors, among which base rate neglect and the fallacy of the transposed conditional have featured prominently. This article introduces the term miss rate neglect to capture the systematic failure to properly account for false positives, i.e. the probability of evidence (E) given the hypothesis (H) is false, P(E|~H). Miss rate neglect occurs when decision makers (i) completely disregard the miss rate; (ii) underestimate the importance of differences in the miss rate, or (iii) overlook circumstances that affect the miss rate. We explain the relevance of miss rate neglect for legal decision making, review extant literature, present new experimental work that empirically validates options (ii) and (iii), and propose experimental variations that future research may pursue.</dcterms:abstract>
<dc:contributor>Dahlman, Christian</dc:contributor>
</rdf:Description>
</rdf:RDF>Interner Vermerk
xmlui.Submission.submit.DescribeStep.inputForms.label.kops_note_fromSubmitter
Prüfungsdatum der Dissertation
Finanzierungsart
Kommentar zur Publikation
Allianzlizenz
Corresponding Authors der Uni Konstanz vorhanden
Internationale Co-Autor:innen
Universitätsbibliographie
Ja
