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Relevance and Reason Relations

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2017

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Singmann, Henrik
Klauer, Karl Christoph

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Cognitive Science. 2017, 41(Supplement S5), pp. 1202-1215. ISSN 0364-0213. eISSN 1551-6709. Available under: doi: 10.1111/cogs.12462

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This paper examines precursors and consequents of perceived relevance of a proposition A for a proposition C. In Experiment 1, we test Spohn's (2012) assumption that ∆P = P(C|A) - P(C|~A) is a good predictor of ratings of perceived relevance and reason relations, and we examine whether it is a better predictor than the difference measure (P(C|A) - P(C)). In Experiment 2, we examine the effects of relevance on probabilistic coherence in Cruz, Baratgin, Oaksford, and Over's (2015) uncertain "and-to-if" inferences. The results suggest that ∆P predicts perceived relevance and reason relations better than the difference measure and that participants are either less probabilistically coherent in "and-to-if" inferences than initially assumed or that they do not follow P(if A, then C) = P(C|A) ("the Equation"). Results are discussed in light of recent results suggesting that the Equation may not hold under conditions of irrelevance or negative relevance.

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ISO 690SKOVGAARD-OLSEN, Niels, Henrik SINGMANN, Karl Christoph KLAUER, 2017. Relevance and Reason Relations. In: Cognitive Science. 2017, 41(Supplement S5), pp. 1202-1215. ISSN 0364-0213. eISSN 1551-6709. Available under: doi: 10.1111/cogs.12462
BibTex
@article{SkovgaardOlsen2017-05Relev-39412,
  year={2017},
  doi={10.1111/cogs.12462},
  title={Relevance and Reason Relations},
  number={Supplement S5},
  volume={41},
  issn={0364-0213},
  journal={Cognitive Science},
  pages={1202--1215},
  author={Skovgaard-Olsen, Niels and Singmann, Henrik and Klauer, Karl Christoph}
}
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