Publikation:

What to do if a dollar is not a dollar? : The impact of inflation risk on production and risk management

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dp0106.pdf
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2001

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Adam-Müller, Axel F. A.

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Zusammenfassung

An entrepreneur faces two types of risk, one from income generation, one from income spending. His income from firm profits is risky due to output price fluctuations and other risks. As a consumer, he is also exposed to inflation risk since he maximizes expected utility of real income. This paper focuses on optimal production and risk management decisions of a risk-averse entrepreneur jointly facing tradable output price risk and untradable inflation risk. Inflation risk applies multiplicatively to the entrepreneur's entire nominal income. Relative risk aversion and the risks' joint distribution determine the effect of introducing a futures market on production. For dependent risks, this effect may be negative if relative risk aversion is above one. Relative risk aversion and the joint distribution also determine optimal risk management with futures contracts where speculation on a real risk premium and cross hedging may be conflicting objectives.

Zusammenfassung in einer weiteren Sprache

Fachgebiet (DDC)
330 Wirtschaft

Schlagwörter

inflation risk, output price risk, production, futures market, relative risk

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ISO 690ADAM-MÜLLER, Axel F. A., 2001. What to do if a dollar is not a dollar? : The impact of inflation risk on production and risk management
BibTex
@techreport{AdamMuller2001dolla-12227,
  year={2001},
  series={CoFE-Diskussionspapiere / Zentrum für Finanzen und Ökonometrie},
  title={What to do if a dollar is not a dollar? : The impact of inflation risk on production and risk management},
  number={2001/06},
  author={Adam-Müller, Axel F. A.}
}
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    <dcterms:abstract xml:lang="eng">An entrepreneur faces two types of risk, one from income generation, one from income  spending. His income from firm profits is risky due to output price fluctuations and other  risks. As a consumer, he is also exposed to inflation risk since he maximizes expected  utility of real income. This paper focuses on optimal production and risk management  decisions of a risk-averse entrepreneur jointly facing tradable output price risk and  untradable inflation risk. Inflation risk applies multiplicatively to the entrepreneur's  entire nominal income. Relative risk aversion and the risks' joint distribution determine  the effect of introducing a futures market on production. For dependent risks, this effect  may be negative if relative risk aversion is above one. Relative risk aversion and the joint  distribution also determine optimal risk management with futures contracts where speculation  on a real risk premium and cross hedging may be conflicting objectives.</dcterms:abstract>
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