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Complex ballot propositions, individual voting behavior, and status quo bias

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2019

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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.10.004
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European Journal of Political Economy. 2019, 58, pp. 82-101. ISSN 0176-2680. eISSN 1873-5703. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.10.004

Zusammenfassung

One concern about direct democracy is that citizens may not be sufficiently competent to decide about complex policies. This may lead to exaggerated conservatism in the voting decision (status quo bias). To investigate how complexity affects individual voting behavior, we develop a novel measure of proposition complexity (using official pre-referendum booklets) and combine it with post-referendum survey data from Switzerland. Using Heckman selection estimations to account for endogenous variation in participation rates, we find that an increase in proposition complexity from the 10th to the 90th percentile would decrease voters' approval by 5.6 ppts, which is often decisive: an additional 12% of the propositions in our sample would be rejected.

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330 Wirtschaft

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Voting behavior, Proposition complexity, Direct democracy, Status quo bias, Heckman probit model

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ISO 690HESSAMI, Zohal, Sven RESNJANSKIJ, 2019. Complex ballot propositions, individual voting behavior, and status quo bias. In: European Journal of Political Economy. 2019, 58, pp. 82-101. ISSN 0176-2680. eISSN 1873-5703. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.10.004
BibTex
@article{Hessami2019-06Compl-46427,
  year={2019},
  doi={10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.10.004},
  title={Complex ballot propositions, individual voting behavior, and status quo bias},
  volume={58},
  issn={0176-2680},
  journal={European Journal of Political Economy},
  pages={82--101},
  author={Hessami, Zohal and Resnjanskij, Sven}
}
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