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Eliciting preferences for truth-telling in a survey of politicians

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2020

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Janezic, Katharina A.

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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS). National Academy of Sciences. 2020, 117(36), pp. 22002-22008. ISSN 0027-8424. eISSN 1091-6490. Available under: doi: 10.1073/pnas.2008144117

Zusammenfassung

Honesty is one of the most valued traits in politicians. Yet, because lies often remain undiscovered, it is difficult to study if some politicians are more honest than others. This paper examines which individual characteristics are correlated with truth-telling in a controlled setting in a large sample of politicians. We designed and embedded a game that incentivizes lying with a nonmonetary method in a survey answered by 816 Spanish mayors. Mayors were first asked how interested they were in obtaining a detailed report about the survey results, and at the end of the survey, they had to flip a coin to find out whether they would be sent the report. Because the probability of heads is known, we can estimate the proportion of mayors who lied to obtain the report. We find that a large and statistically significant proportion of mayors lied. Mayors that are members of the two major political parties lied significantly more. We further find that women and men were equally likely to lie. Finally, we find a negative relationship between truth-telling and reelection in the next municipal elections, which suggests that dishonesty might help politicians survive in office.

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320 Politik

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honesty, political elites, behavioral games, gender

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ISO 690JANEZIC, Katharina A., Aina GALLEGO, 2020. Eliciting preferences for truth-telling in a survey of politicians. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS). National Academy of Sciences. 2020, 117(36), pp. 22002-22008. ISSN 0027-8424. eISSN 1091-6490. Available under: doi: 10.1073/pnas.2008144117
BibTex
@article{Janezic2020Elici-55605,
  year={2020},
  doi={10.1073/pnas.2008144117},
  title={Eliciting preferences for truth-telling in a survey of politicians},
  number={36},
  volume={117},
  issn={0027-8424},
  journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)},
  pages={22002--22008},
  author={Janezic, Katharina A. and Gallego, Aina}
}
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