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Does Uranium Mining Increase Civil Conflict Risk? : Evidence from a Spatiotemporal Analysis of Africa from 1960 to 2008

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2013

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Basedau, Matthias

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https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2013.842744
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Civil Wars. 2013, 15(3), pp. 306-331. ISSN 1369-8249. eISSN 1743-968X. Available under: doi: 10.1080/13698249.2013.842744

Zusammenfassung

We investigate whether uranium, similar to other resources, is associated with armed conflicts. The analysis uses grid cells in Africa to test this hypothesis. Results from logistic regressions reveal that uranium operations are not an independent conflict risk; however, it is significantly linked to local conflict events when interacting with ethnic exclusion. The analysis is supplemented by process tracing in four countries, where armed conflict broke out after uranium operations started (DR Congo, Central African Republic, Niger and South Africa). We find substantial evidence for a link only in the case of Niger. Our results suggest that uranium promotes intrastate conflict only under specific circumstances.

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ISO 690KOOS, Carlo, Matthias BASEDAU, 2013. Does Uranium Mining Increase Civil Conflict Risk? : Evidence from a Spatiotemporal Analysis of Africa from 1960 to 2008. In: Civil Wars. 2013, 15(3), pp. 306-331. ISSN 1369-8249. eISSN 1743-968X. Available under: doi: 10.1080/13698249.2013.842744
BibTex
@article{Koos2013-09Urani-35778,
  year={2013},
  doi={10.1080/13698249.2013.842744},
  title={Does Uranium Mining Increase Civil Conflict Risk? : Evidence from a Spatiotemporal Analysis of Africa from 1960 to 2008},
  number={3},
  volume={15},
  issn={1369-8249},
  journal={Civil Wars},
  pages={306--331},
  author={Koos, Carlo and Basedau, Matthias}
}
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